Texas is betting big on Bitcoin. As recently as last week, Governor Abbott signed SB 21 into law establishing the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The plan? To strengthen the state’s monetary reserves with a new form of digital gold. Sounds futuristic, right? Before we all jump on the bandwagon, especially my brothers and sisters in Africa, let's pump the brakes and ask a crucial question: Is this innovation, or invitation to financial ruin?

Texas's Bitcoin Bet: A Mirage?

The logic is tempting. Bitcoin, they tell you, is an inflation hedge, your umbrella against economic turmoil. And yes, the concept of a decentralized, borderless currency has undeniable appeal, particularly when traditional financial systems feel rigged against you. Let's be honest: Bitcoin is volatile. We’re not discussing roiling seas here, we’re discussing tidal wave, ark-building, bring-on-the-deluge price fluctuations that deflate fortunes in the blink of an eye. Fortunately for Texas, the state has a relatively diversified economy that could help buffer those shocks. Yet what of those countries where the economy is much more tenuous.

Now picture an African country, looking at Texas and inspired, deciding to invest a significant portion of its own sovereign wealth funds into BTC. Now, picture Bitcoin taking an unexpected nosedive. This isn't some hypothetical doomsday scenario; it's happened before, and it will happen again. That steep dive might set off a currency crisis, paralyze the economy, and send everyday people reeling.

FOMO: The Siren Song of Crypto

FOMO is a hell of a drug, and the cryptocurrency world is its foremost dealer. Suddenly, everyone’s a genius, promising you the next great coin that will make you a millionaire. This is where the proverbial rubber meets the road and where things get dangerous particularly for developing nations. The pull to adopt, to be cutting edge, to not get “left behind” is immense.

Think about El Salvador. Since President Bukele went all-in on Bitcoin it’s safe to say that the outcome has been… mixed, to say the least. Although Nigeria recently banned all crypto transactions, traders have not been discouraged from the increasingly popular peer-to-peer Bitcoin trading. With Nigeria’s currency, the Naira, rapidly losing value, citizens are looking to it as an escape route. These are all deeply desperate measures, eclipsed by a dream that crypto will heal long-festering economic woes.

Bitcoin isn't a magic bullet. It’s a tool—and like any tool, it can be used for good or for ill. Rushing headlong into the crypto space without a clear strategy, robust regulations, and a healthy dose of skepticism is a recipe for disaster.

Innovation or Inequality Intensified?

Here's the uncomfortable truth: Texas can afford to experiment with Bitcoin because it has a safety net. It has a strong economy, a stable political system, and access to resources that many African nations can only dream of. Should the Bitcoin experiment fail, Texas will just lick its wounds and move on. If it bombs in a country like Zambia or Ghana, the damage would be devastating.

The Texas action could exacerbate the divide between rich countries and poorer, emerging economies. Richer states can dabble in high-risk, high-reward assets, while poorer nations are forced to play it safe, forever stuck in a cycle of poverty. It’s the latest incarnation of financial colonialism, where the veneer of innovation hides a more insidious power relationship.

We should be cautious of the narrative that Bitcoin represents a new financial liberation. It does have potential to improve financial inclusion. Yet this opportunity is accompanied by enormous peril, particularly for those who are not as well-equipped to navigate those hazards.

FeatureTexasDeveloping African Nation
EconomyDiversified, strongLess diversified, vulnerable
ReservesSubstantialLimited
Regulatory FrameworkEstablishedOften nascent or non-existent
Risk ToleranceHigherSignificantly lower

So, what's the answer? Should African countries just turn their backs on Bitcoin and cash out in their old financial systems. Absolutely not. They need to be cautious, read the tea leaves, and learn from other people’s mistakes. First and foremost, they should act in the best interest of their citizens. Don’t fall prey to FOMO pressure tactics.

Before blindly following Texas down the Bitcoin rabbit hole, African policymakers need to ask themselves some tough questions:

The Texas Bitcoin Reserve is indeed a bold and worthwhile venture, but it is not a blueprint for success. For Africa, it would arguably be a disaster in the making. Let’s not allow wonder of the shiny new technology to distract us from the risks. Let’s innovate, let’s learn, but as others have said, let’s do it responsibly and always with an eye on the long-term consequences. The future of our financial systems depends on it.

Before blindly following Texas down the Bitcoin rabbit hole, African policymakers need to ask themselves some tough questions:

  • What are the potential risks?
  • What are the regulatory frameworks?
  • Who benefits, and who loses?

The Texas Bitcoin Reserve may be a bold move, but it's not a blueprint for success. For Africa, it could be a recipe for disaster. Let's not let awe of the new tech make us blind to the dangers. Let's learn, let's innovate, but let's do it responsibly, and always with an eye on the long-term consequences. The future of our financial systems depends on it.